Day 106 [Jan. 16, 0700 JST] A day of beautiful beam reach sailing. Night landings now at 23 and counting. Position:
Distance completed to Yokohama finish: 35.7%
Heading: 270 Yokohama ETA: 154 days (based on 7-day ave. boat speed) To WP 5, Indian Ocean midpoint: 2.7 days Weather: Clear and fine with smooth seas Today's Report A beautiful day of beam reach sailing under light to moderate winds on a mostly flat sea. Added Comment Nicole BMW Shuten-dohji III continues to serve as an aircraft carrier. Eight more Exocoetidae skittered on board yesterday, bringing the week's total to 23. The skipper said he has not seen other types of fish, any whales, or even birds, but clearly something is scaring these gliders into making highly risky night landings into Saito-san's larder. Maybe it's the boat's hull, but their direction is TO her, not away. Hmmm... so what does Wikipedia say? |
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Day 107 [Jan. 17, 0700 JST] Mostly downwind sailing as fair winds hold. Position:
Distance completed to Yokohama finish: 35.8%
Heading: 350 (30 deg W var.) Yokohama ETA: 153 days (based on 7-day ave. boat speed) To WP 5, Indian Ocean midpoint: 1.3 days Weather: Clear and fine Today's Report Another beautiful day, this time of largely downwind sailing under moderate and improving winds. The skipper is in good spirits, reporting that "everything is fine." Added Comment Saito-san remains in an elongated series of successive highs that should bring him several more days of downwind sailing and increased daily distances. A very slight westward current, at .2 kt, is also helping. |
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Day 108 [Jan. 18, 0700 JST] Another day of downwind sailing. Overcast and occasionally spitting. The 9,000th mile goes under the hull. Position:
Distance completed to Yokohama finish: 36.3%
Heading: 320 Yokohama ETA: 153 days (based on 7-day ave. boat speed) To WP 5, Indian Ocean midpoint: 1.0 days Weather: Overcast with scattered showers Today's Report The day turns overcast with occasional showers, and the winds ease and remain out of the east for true downwind sailing. This requires either steering as much as 30 degrees off course to keep the wind sufficiently abeam, or running the risk of an uncontrolled jibe if the wind should come around unexpectedly. Added Comment For the old square riggers, sailing downwind could mean days of pretty effortless sailing but with modern sailboats this is one of the slowest points of sail. Plus it adds the unnerving possibility of the main boom suddenly slamming through the eye of the wind should the stern creep around enough, the skipper not realizing or dozing, or wind direction suddenly change. At such times the boom lives up to its name, and the uncontrolled violent motion, under the wrong conditions, can break hardware or even the boom itself. Saito-san rigs several preventers to keep damage from occurring, but no skipper is immune from the possibility, so sleep in such cases becomes elusive, and fatigue can soon follow. |
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Day 109 [Jan. 19, 0700 JST] Iridium satellite comms goes back to the future. Voyage now 17,000 km along.
Position: 27 50 S, 71 20 E Heading: 325 Yokohama ETA: 150 days (based on 7-day ave. boat speed) To WP 5, Indian Ocean midpoint: 0.7 days Weather: Clear on flat seas Today's Report Since yesterday the Iridium signal has severely weakened and is causing sporadic and broken comms contact. Winds improved late yesterday to out of the ENE, which placed the helm more on a favorable heading, thus improving distance made good to 105 nm under sails alone. Added Comment While Iridium satellite coverage is purported to be 100% global, the gaps within the network of 66 satellites have become even more pronounced at his present location. As satellites pass over him (or within the horizon) a momentary signal lock is achieved, then lost within seconds, and when it does hold lasts never more than a minute. So our exchanges are necessarily brief, hurried, and one-sided -- harking back to the CB radio days of the 1970s, absent the static and all the 10-4's. For this leg, it's well and truly back to the future, though thankfully still working after a fashion. Interestingly, we find that the Iridium coverage maps on the Internet date back almost 10 years, and the description states that the life expectancy of each satellite is just 5 to 8 years. So the Iridium system is long in the tooth and seems to be showing its age, especially in massive, isolated areas such as the dead center of the South Indian Ocean where Saito-san is now. There is zero ship traffic, either as reported by him or as shown on Clearpoint. Thus we suspect the priorities of Iridium's masters are where commercial use is heavier ... and clearly not on their web page, last updated on May 8, 2002.
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Day 110 [Jan. 20, 0700 JST] WP5 is reached, halfway across the Indian Ocean. Iridium is back on good behavior. Saito-san divulges how a solo sailor stays alive. We reset the DMG a bit. Position:
Distance completed to Yokohama finish: 36.0% Heading: 320 Yokohama ETA: 152 days (based on 7-day ave. boat speed) To WP6, Cape of Good Hope: 25 days Weather: Clear skies on calm seas Today's Report A slower day under reduced winds. Skies are clear, seas flat. We discussed the appearance of a new cyclone 900 nm to the west but it was quickly heading south and appears already below his latitude. This one is named Cyclone Eric. We'll keep a close watch. It appears the antenna may have been contributing to the Iridium troubles over the last several days. The sat phone was back to normal this morning after Saito-san gave the antenna an inspection, and found it had worked itself loose. Now comms are considerably better, if not exactly 5 x 5. Added Comment Rei filed this report after talking with Saito-san late last week. Due to the time difference with Japan, he called in at 3 am his time, and that was a good reason to talk about an crucial life-saving trait of solo sailors.
*** And now a different sort of correction needs to be made. As some may have noticed, we declared yesterday that Saito had gone 9,181 nm but had not quite reached WP5 at 8,900 nm. There are two reasons: He 1) followed a higher or more northward track, and 2) he's had to tack a lot. When he has to tack heavily away from the desired route due to wind direction, as he has the last 10 days, the true DMG (distance made good) will be less than the DOG (distance over ground). There are several solutions, but we are taking the easiest one: Today we will turn back the trip odometer to 9,000 nm as the measured geographical distance to where he crossed 070 E (and along his "higher" track), and restart the calculations from there. Thus, he's now 36.0% along, and not 37.1%. We'll likely have to reset again as he pulls abreast of Cape Town, South Africa, in 2,600 nm. But this way sure makes our job easier! |
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Day 111 [Jan. 21, 0700 JST] Eric takes a powder, but it may still get stormy. Your ideas on the maps? Read Welcome! below if you are seeing this daily posting for the first time. Please let us know if you do not wish to receive these position reports, or if there is someone you would like for us to add. Kindly forward to others. ********* Position: The old look:
Distance completed to Yokohama finish: 36.5%
The new look (combined):
Heading: 305 Yokohama ETA: 149 days (based on 7-day ave. boat speed) To WP6, Cape of Good Hope: 23.5 days Weather: Clear skies, fair winds Today's Report A better day with stronger winds on easy seas. Cyclone Eric "transitioned" (that's meterology-speak) into a tropical low yesterday and so is no longer on the threat horizon. However, a trough associated with the low will pass over Saito in about 30 hours bringing with it the possibility of stormy conditions. He was reporting beautifully clear skies late this afternoon, but could barely make out some clouds far to the northwest. That's "ex-Eric," what they are now calling the tropical low, which is about 500nm west of Saito-san's position. This shows both cyclones (Fanele and Eric, respectively from left) that developed almost simultaneously on opposite coasts of Madagascar, and subsequently turned into lows. The cross was Saito-san's position this morning.
Added Comment We're playing around with the appearance of the distance map, which is about to lose some of its dramatic impact as the long southern route down from Yokohama will soon be hidden when the globe turns another few degrees east. When that happens the position and distance maps will look very much the same... a series of blue dots running pretty much horizontally for the next 6,000 miles or so. |
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Day 112 [Jan. 22, 0700 JST] An easy but slower day of fair winds on the beam. Will he make Yokohama on time? Position: Distance completed to Yokohama finish: 36.8%
Heading: 305 Yokohama ETA: 144 days (based on 7-day ave. boat speed) To WP6, Cape of Good Hope: 22.0 days Weather: Overcast skies, fair winds Today's Report A good day, if somewhat slow at 104 nm. Winds improved later. No major problems although he noted that the hydraulic leak has slightly increased. He estimated about a cupful has leaked out of the system (at the point of attachment for the auto steering) in the past 2 days. There is still plenty of replacement fluid, he confirmed. Added Comment As he grows closer to the Cape of Good Hope, a decision will be reached on whether he will pull into port, probably at Cape Town, to replenish his fuel. He must reach Cape Horn by April 1 in order to make it back to Yokohama by May 31. The Yokohama 150th Anniversary Port Celebration starts that Sunday and continues for a week. Saito-san and the Saito Challenge 8 Campaign organizers expect to make that deadline even if it requires increased motoring to keep up the pace. We calculate he still can arrive on time despite falling behind in the past 12 days as he sought to conserve fuel. Here are the calculations:
So will he get back to Yokohama in time? As Saito-san summarizes it: "We won't really know until Cape Horn." |
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Day 113 [Jan. 23, 0700 JST] Better day under sails. Hydraulic leak ok for now. Position: Distance completed to Yokohama finish: 37.4%
Heading: 280 Yokohama ETA: 142 days (based on 7-day ave. boat speed) To WP6, Cape of Good Hope: 22.0 days Weather: Overcast, fair winds, but easing Today's Report Brisk, favorable winds added 118 nm to the DMG yesterday as good weather held. Meanwhile, 600 nm due west, Cyclone Fanele came back to life after a spin through Madagascar brought winds back to cyclonic levels. Her rebirth was temporary, fortunately, and the storm is now back down to a tropical depression and expected to weaken to almost nothing over the next several days. Added Comment Saito-san noted that the drip, drip, drip of the hydraulic autopilot has almost completely stopped. He believes that yesterday's strong winds and beam reach had put more burden on the system, and so the leak worsened. Once the winds dropped and the strain eased, the leak slowed to almost nothing. |
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